Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#89
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#84
Pace60.3#311
Improvement-6.4#338

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#109
Improvement-3.2#313

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#82
Improvement-3.1#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 107   @ Old Dominion W 63-46 42%     1 - 0 +24.6 +3.5 +22.6
  Nov 15, 2011 38   @ St. Mary's L 41-57 22%     1 - 1 -2.5 -25.7 +22.2
  Nov 20, 2011 254   Northern Colorado W 78-69 91%     2 - 1 +0.0 -3.4 +3.4
  Nov 22, 2011 234   Western Carolina W 59-39 89%     3 - 1 +12.3 -5.5 +22.4
  Nov 25, 2011 145   Rice W 64-60 65%     4 - 1 +5.6 -2.5 +8.4
  Nov 26, 2011 121   Providence W 79-62 59%     5 - 1 +20.2 +6.7 +13.9
  Nov 30, 2011 27   @ Iowa St. W 69-62 19%     6 - 1 +21.9 +9.7 +13.0
  Dec 03, 2011 72   Colorado St. W 83-77 58%     7 - 1 +9.4 +12.4 -2.6
  Dec 06, 2011 91   Iowa W 80-60 63%     8 - 1 +22.0 +10.3 +12.9
  Dec 10, 2011 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 67-51 77%     9 - 1 +13.7 +9.2 +7.9
  Dec 20, 2011 71   Ohio L 59-76 58%     9 - 2 -13.6 -5.7 -9.1
  Dec 29, 2011 101   @ Illinois St. L 61-65 40%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +4.2 -4.1 +7.9
  Jan 01, 2012 113   Evansville L 65-76 69%     9 - 4 0 - 2 -10.6 -10.8 +0.2
  Jan 04, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 65-48 73%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +16.0 -3.4 +20.3
  Jan 07, 2012 130   @ Drake W 83-68 48%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +20.9 +16.1 +5.0
  Jan 10, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 60-63 19%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +11.6 +0.7 +10.3
  Jan 13, 2012 97   Missouri St. W 61-60 65%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +2.6 -3.4 +6.1
  Jan 15, 2012 256   @ Bradley L 67-78 77%     12 - 6 3 - 4 -13.2 -4.2 -9.0
  Jan 18, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 68-71 27%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +8.7 +5.2 +3.2
  Jan 22, 2012 130   Drake W 66-52 73%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +13.1 +3.5 +11.5
  Jan 25, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. L 54-59 49%     13 - 8 4 - 6 +0.8 -3.1 +2.9
  Jan 28, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. L 51-63 39%     13 - 9 4 - 7 -3.6 -7.2 +1.4
  Jan 31, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 58-49 86%     14 - 9 5 - 7 +2.6 -6.8 +11.1
  Feb 04, 2012 28   Creighton W 65-62 41%     15 - 9 6 - 7 +10.8 -1.6 +12.9
  Feb 08, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 57-82 12%     15 - 10 6 - 8 -6.5 -0.9 -9.0
  Feb 11, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 78-63 66%     16 - 10 7 - 8 +16.4 +8.1 +8.8
  Feb 15, 2012 113   @ Evansville L 62-63 43%     16 - 11 7 - 9 +6.2 -0.9 +6.9
  Feb 17, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-77 28%     16 - 12 +2.7 +6.2 -4.1
  Feb 22, 2012 256   Bradley W 64-55 91%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +0.0 +2.5 -0.6
  Feb 25, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois W 65-61 69%     18 - 12 9 - 9 +4.4 -0.8 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2012 101   Illinois St. L 42-54 53%     18 - 13 -7.2 -24.9 +16.4
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 1.4% 1.4% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 98.6 1.4%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 98.6 1.4%